The JSIN Rebuttal — OL 32 / CHC I (national)
This sample shows the headline product: the JSIN rebuttal. JSIN — the judiciary's own sentencing tool — reports an average that excludes probation-only sentences and §5K1.1 cooperators (the lightest real outcomes) while keeping the non-discretionary mandatory-minimum sentences. Re-running that filter honestly against the USSC public datafile for OL 32 / CHC I (national, n=2,452) puts the JSIN-comparable median at 108 months against an honest discretionary median of 80 — a 28-month delta, with 68% of the cohort sentenced below the guideline range. Two further cohorts (OL 26 / CHC III with criminal history, and OL 8 / CHC I where the honest median is probation) show the gap is not an artifact of the cleanest cell. Every figure is a real computed statistic carrying the USSC datafile vintage; cohorts too thin to support a number render an honest 'insufficient data' state.
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